The COVID-19 pandemic highlighted nan importance of digitalization successful supporting entree to basal healthcare services successful nan astir distant areas. With nan largest illness load globally and nan astir constricted healthcare resources, Africa has an opportunity to usage nan lessons learned during nan pandemic to grow its usage of integer wellness devices (see sidebar “What we mean by ‘digital wellness tools’”).
Although integer wellness successful astir African regions is still successful its infancy, advances successful smartphone connectivity, information guidance policies (including to boost interoperability, privacy, and security), and information infrastructure are starting to alteration nan ways wellness systems activity successful Africa. And accelerated description successful different areas, specified arsenic mobile financing, shows that leapfrogging is possible.
It is clear that integer wellness devices could play an important domiciled successful boosting wellness strategy performance successful Africa, but they could besides thief amended efficiency. First, they could amended entree to basal wellness services, particularly for hard-to-reach populations, women, refugees, persons pinch disabilities, and lower-income households. In astir sub-Saharan countries, much than 20 percent of nan organization lives much than 2 hours distant from basal wellness services. Access is further constricted by debased expertise to salary and comparatively precocious costs of care. Second, improved entree to diligent information could thief attraction providers make much meticulous diagnoses and much efficaciously tailor interventions to forestall aliases dainty disease. Digital devices could besides make it easier for patients to comply pinch curen plans; successful 2018, a study recovered that only astir 45 percent of objective guidelines for galore communal conditions were followed successful respective African countries. Third, integer wellness devices could fortify wellness systems’ resilience by boosting their expertise to identify, respond to, and retrieve from wellness emergencies.
Finally, integer wellness devices could thief wellness systems present attraction astatine amended quality, faster, and astatine little costs and thereby optimize constrained resources, including a shortage of healthcare professionals, particularly successful agrarian areas. This article focuses connected measuring nan effect of this 4th lever by quantifying nan ratio imaginable of implementing integer wellness tools.
We conducted an study to quantify nan financial effect integer wellness devices could person successful Kenya, Nigeria, and South Africa. Our findings bespeak that these countries could seizure efficiencies of up to 15 percent successful full healthcare expenditures by 2030 (see sidebar “Methodology for calculating imaginable ratio gains successful 2030 full healthcare expenditures”). We chose these 3 countries for our study because they accounted for 85 percent of integer wellness start-up backing successful Africa successful 2021, and they person granular healthcare spending information disposable for analysis.
The imaginable ratio gains, which could beryllium realized without compromising value and outcomes, alteration by country. In 2030, wide take could unlock $400 cardinal to $2.5 cardinal successful Kenya (4 to 14 percent of full projected healthcare spending), $700 cardinal to $3.3 cardinal successful Nigeria (4 to 10 percent of full projected healthcare spending), and $1.9 cardinal to $11 cardinal successful South Africa (6 to 15 percent of full projected healthcare spending) (Exhibit 1). These gains could beryllium reinvested successful different high-priority areas to summation wide wellness outcomes and finance nan implementation and attraction of integer wellness tools. Finding ratio gains is particularly captious successful budget-constrained countries, which includes astir countries successful Africa. Only a fewer African countries meet nan 2001 Abuja Declaration target of allocating 15 percent of nationalist expenditures to health.
In this article, we outline sources of imaginable efficiency gains successful nan 3 countries, existent opportunities to grow integer health, and actions that could accelerate and support integer wellness adoption.
Sources of ratio gains
We person identified six categories of integer wellness devices that could create efficiencies: virtual interactions, paperless data, diligent self-care, diligent self-service, determination intelligence systems, and workflow automation (Exhibit 2). According to our analysis, shifting to virtual interactions and going paperless are nan main drivers of imaginable healthcare expenditure ratio gains successful Kenya, Nigeria, and South Africa. While astir attraction is delivered coming successful organization and primary-care settings, these devices could beryllium beneficial to varying degrees crossed attraction settings, from superior to tertiary care, and pinch expanding magnitude done 2030.
Virtual interactions relationship for astir 43 percent of imaginable ratio gains successful Kenya (up to $1.1 billion), 35 percent successful Nigeria (up to $1.2 billion), and 39 percent successful South Africa (up to $4.3 billion) successful 2030. These deduce chiefly from 3 types of patient-facing solutions:
Teleconsultation. Teleconsultations—remote interactions betwixt healthcare professionals and patients, peculiarly for insignificant wellness issues aliases follow-ups—are nan starring virtual-interaction instrumentality pinch respect to imaginable ratio gains. Additionally, patients bask nan convenience and clip savings. Broader take of teleconsultations could thief trim emergency admissions, amended chronic-disease management, and grow attraction access. Teleconsultations tin besides support task shifting (redistributing tasks among wellness workforce teams), though this was not considered successful our analysis.
Remote monitoring. Remote monitoring of captious signs and symptoms could thief providers much cost-effectively negociate patients pinch 1 aliases much chronic diseases specified arsenic diabetes, congestive bosom failure, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Broader take of monitoring technologies successful Africa could thief trim emergency-room attraction and infirmary admissions, thief caregivers and patients amended power chronic diseases, and alteration earlier interventions.
Electronic triage. Electronic triage refers to nan usage of AI-based online devices aliases telephone services to find up beforehand whether patients request to sojourn an emergency room, consult pinch their primary-care providers (PCPs), aliases schedule a follow-up consultation pinch their caregiver. It could besides thief trim nonurgent emergency-department visits, frankincense speeding up attraction for those astir successful need.
Virtual interactions relationship for astir 43 percent of imaginable ratio gains successful Kenya, 35 percent successful Nigeria, and 39 percent successful South Africa successful 2030.
Paperless information accounts for 30 percent of nan imaginable ratio gains successful 2030 successful Kenya (up to $700 million), 26 percent successful Nigeria (up to $900 million), and 30 percent successful South Africa (up to $3.3 billion). This class comprises nan pursuing solutions:
Interoperable physics wellness records (EHRs). Clinicians request EHRs that comply pinch interoperability standards—including HL7 FHIR, a modular for nan integer speech of diligent wellness data—to record, access, manage, and (if diligent consent is granted) stock diligent accusation crossed attraction settings. Interoperable EHRs beforehand greater ratio by allowing healthcare professionals to attraction connected high-value alternatively than strictly administrative tasks and trim aesculapian appointments for unnecessary aliases duplicative tests and imaging procedures. Although EHRs person been adopted arsenic portion of targeted illness programs (for example, to dainty HIV and tuberculosis), they typically do not yet supply a holistic image of patients’ aesculapian histories for usage successful various attraction settings.
African wellness systems could return nan opportunity to build interoperable EHR solutions much broadly crossed illness areas and attraction settings. For example, Helium Health’s halfway electronic-medical-records (EMR) and infirmary guidance solution is being utilized by much than 7,000 aesculapian professionals successful much than 470 accommodation successful West Africa to dainty much than 290,000 patients monthly. Babyl Rwanda has developed a level that lets patients usage interactive sound consequence complete mobile phones to entree a full-service integer wellness level including EHRs.
EHRs besides boost nan ratio of astir different integer wellness tools, including nan following:
E-prescribing. Digital supplier prescriptions tin beryllium transmitted to pharmacies successful existent time, reducing administrative costs and prescribing errors. When integrated pinch EHRs, integer prescriptions could thief forestall adverse supplier events by giving physicians deeper insights into imaginable supplier interactions and a patient’s aesculapian history.
Intrahospital unit communication. Digital platforms aliases package allowing physics connection and coordination among infirmary unit could beryllium an businesslike replacement to paper-based systems. This solution could summation productivity by replacing traditional, in-person multidisciplinary committee meetings and facilitating accelerated doctor-to-doctor connection astir diligent attraction (leveraging a patient-centered interoperable EHR) betwixt departments and hospitals.
AI-based virtual assistants. These tools, particularly erstwhile integrated pinch objective determination support systems and EHRs, could facilitate mundane activity for clinicians by, for example, utilizing AI-based voice-recognition programs to archive diligent notes, predicting and managing diligent workflow, and helping negociate charts.
Patient self-care accounts for 4 percent of nan imaginable ratio gains successful 2030 successful Kenya (up to $100 million), 6 percent successful Nigeria (up to $200 million), and 5 percent successful South Africa (up to $500 million). It includes guidance applications that facilitate medicine adherence and diligent education programs for chronic diseases specified arsenic intelligence illness, diabetes, and respiratory and cardiovascular diseases.
Adoption of self-care solutions is still debased successful astir African countries, but nan region is astatine a healthcare tipping point. Policies and resources coming are chiefly dedicated to fighting infectious diseases (primarily HIV, malaria, and tuberculosis). But according to nan World Health Organization, noncommunicable diseases specified arsenic cancer, cardiovascular diseases, and glucosuria are “increasingly becoming nan main origin of mortality successful sub-Saharan Africa,” wherever they were responsible for 37 percent of deaths successful 2019, up from 24 percent successful 2000. Disease-prevention tools, specified arsenic mobile apps, virtual coaches, and fittingness trackers, could beforehand patient diets and beingness activity. Our study of self-care options besides included home-based integer diagnostics specified arsenic screenings, online patient-support networks, and virtual reality to negociate symptom (for example, for pain victims). But according to our analysis, group successful Africa thin to prosecute attraction for curative alternatively than preventive measures, truthful these devices could person constricted impact.
Patient self-service accounts for 4 percent of nan imaginable ratio gains successful 2030 successful Kenya (up to $100 million), 7 percent successful Nigeria (up to $200 million), and 4 percent successful South Africa (up to $500 million). The cardinal self-service exertion examined successful this study is e-booking—online portals that fto patients book session visits, reschedule appointments, and schedule diagnostic tests. By giving patients greater power complete their entree to care, e-booking could trim nan costs of missed appointments and administrative costs.
Decision intelligence systems
Decision intelligence systems supply data-driven determination support for physicians and attraction halfway support unit specified arsenic nurses. They relationship for 9 percent of nan imaginable ratio gains successful 2030 successful Kenya (up to $200 million), 10 percent successful Nigeria (up to $300 million), and 12 percent successful South Africa (up to $1.3 billion). In immoderate parts of Africa, wellness systems person already implemented capacity dashboards that coming nan astir important KPIs to thief administrators and objective leaders continually show attraction provisioning and ratio against benchmarks successful areas specified arsenic installation use, unused beds, and lengths of stay. Performance indicators are peculiarly adjuvant for identifying value outliers, whether affirmative aliases negative, and tin pass adjustments to determination making and operations successful attraction settings—for example, to trim variations successful adherence to protocols.
This wide class besides includes different integer wellness devices that person shown mixed results pinch respect to world take and impact. For instance, machine-learning solutions tin let payers to measure value-based care, place fraud, and more. Clinical-focused systems could make differential diagnoses, construe imaging, and make recommendations for attraction plans. Genomic study of patients could let for amended dosage determinations, frankincense reducing broadside effects and hospitalizations. And diligent travel guidance package could amended negociate nan transportation of patients from ward to ward to optimize magnitude of enactment and usage of beds. Interventions successful this class of integer wellness devices could beryllium approached sequentially—for instance, starting pinch differential diagnosis and diligent travel and advancing to genomic study astatine scale. Having nan underlying capacity (such arsenic entree to wellness data) to adopt determination intelligence systems will beryllium basal to driving “leapfrog” effect from them.
Workflow automation accounts for 10 percent of nan imaginable ratio gains successful 2030 successful Kenya (up to $200.0 million), 16 percent successful Nigeria (up to $500.0 million), and 11 percent successful South Africa (up to $1.3 billion). Workflow automation could amended nan diligent acquisition and nan value of information for objective determination making.
Mobile connectivity via tablets, for example, could supply nurses successful clinics and successful distant areas pinch afloat entree to diligent accusation and heighten their ability to return attraction of patients done precocious communications aliases nonstop messaging pinch different healthcare professionals.
Health systems could unlock further ratio done nan usage of integer devices including radio-frequency recognition (RFID) to way assets specified arsenic diagnostic tools, beds, and costly narcotics and to administer medications astatine nan bedside pinch confirmation of each prescribed drugs. Digital devices could besides support distant monitoring of captious signs for critically sick patients (a alleged physics intensive attraction unit), infirmary logistics pinch robotics performing repetitive aliases elemental tasks, and e-referrals (referrals and discharge accusation forwarded to nan adjacent expert successful nan patient’s journey).
Advancing nan integer wellness scenery successful Africa
Governments successful Africa are progressively mounting strategies and allocating backing for integer health, shaping regularisation and policies astir it, and exploring opportunities to grow integer wellness adoption. Additionally, donors and partners are actively supporting African countries’ efforts to summation their knowledge, resources, and capabilities to prolong integer wellness growth. Simultaneously, enhancements successful IT infrastructure and integer readiness are improving integer wellness affordability and take successful nan region. For example, mobile telephone subscription reached 46 percent successful 2021.
Africa is presently experiencing important uptake successful nan usage of integer wellness devices that could revolutionize work delivery.
As a result, Africa is presently experiencing substantial uptake successful nan usage of integer wellness devices that could revolutionize work delivery. Indeed, an progressively move integer wellness scenery is taking style pinch immoderate start-ups and companies taking nan lead successful targeted regions and wellness categories. In nan past 2 years, nan African integer wellness abstraction has seen unprecedented growth, pinch $123 cardinal successful finance secured by 55 start-ups successful 2021 (Exhibit 3).
Because task superior backing started to summation importantly only successful 2020 and marketplace sizes per state are still comparatively small, integer wellness solutions are mostly still small-scale and fragmented. Most integer wellness companies connection stand-alone devices that reside a azygous constituent of a diligent travel and are not integrated pinch nan remainder of nan wellness system. There is an opportunity to present much integrated integer wellness offerings astatine standard successful Africa. Doing truthful would return a concerted effort by aggregate stakeholders—public-health leaders, payers, providers, and start-ups—working successful parallel to execute nan following:
Establish an enabling ecosystem. As successful different countries, governments could commencement pinch nationalist integer wellness strategies that see measurable targets, roadworthy maps, and budgets. They could framework their existing and expanding integer ecosystem pinch a beardown regulatory situation done information management, instrumentality regulations, and favorable reimbursement systems and could see certification of caller devices by a nationalist agency. They could support nan ecosystem pinch open-data standards and create platforms and technologies that tin accommodate to low-resource environments—for example, slimmed-down yet still interoperable EHRs that facilitate wellness information exchange, e-prescriptions, and different tools. Finally, they could put successful spot an enabling infrastructure including, for example, nationwide sum of mobile and net networks, unchangeable powerfulness supplies, and cloud-based information hosting—all supported by accrued integer literacy and workforce training.
Demonstrate caller aliases existing value. Digital wellness ecosystem participants could past activity to place nan astir pressing wellness strategy capacity issues—for example, access, quality, efficiency, aliases resilience—and nan integer devices that could amended not only ratio but besides diligent access, convenience, and outcomes. They could usage performance analytics to show advancement against capacity objectives and show worth to citizens, clinicians, and wellness systems. They could codevelop user-friendly solution designs successful section partnerships that impact patients and healthcare professionals and could put successful coordinated investigation and improvement of integer wellness tools—for example, pinch donor-funded initiatives aliases investigation institute projects.
Scale and prolong existing value. Social-service and public-health organizations could beforehand nan usage of certified integer wellness devices done campaigns aliases adjusted care-delivery standards. Tools that person demonstrated occurrence successful 1 country, peculiarly successful low-resource environments, could past beryllium expanded to others done partnerships pinch multinational organizations and intergovernmental platforms. Solution providers could besides see sustainable financing beyond philanthropist investment—for example, pinch revenue-generating models, authorities funding, and public–private partnerships. Social-service and public-health organizations could further support nan incubation of integer wellness solutions by mounting up targeted costs and different initiatives. Finally, organizations and partners aiming to substance invention successful Africa could create forums specified arsenic roundtables aliases invention showcases to bring together stakeholders including donors, partners, innovators, companies, and clinicians.
Africa could bolster wellness strategy efficiencies done expanded usage of integer wellness tools. For Kenya, Nigeria, and South Africa, nan imaginable wellness ratio gains could beryllium up to 15 percent. Expanding usage of virtual interactions and shifting from paper-based to interoperable integer wellness information speech systems person nan astir committedness to recognize ratio gains, though respective different integer devices besides show imaginable and warrant consideration. Countries could return action connected respective fronts to support nan improvement of a integer wellness ecosystem and expanded usage of integer wellness tools. This includes continuing to put successful IT infrastructure, modifying nan environment, and partnering pinch different stakeholders to instrumentality and standard usage cases and show advancement and performance. Increasing efficiencies is simply a worthy extremity connected its own, particularly successful a region pinch constrained resources, but reinvesting nan savings could supply yet different furniture of value, perchance expanding entree and improving outcomes for a larger swath of nan population.
Océane Jousset is simply a advisor successful McKinsey’s Geneva office, Marilyn Kimeu and Giovanni Sforza are subordinate partners successful nan Nairobi office, Thomas Müller is an subordinate partner successful nan Zurich office, Ying Sunny Sun is simply a partner successful nan Lisbon office, Ali Ustun is simply a partner successful nan Doha office, and Matt Wilson is simply a elder partner successful nan New York office.
The authors wish to convey Chloe Buck, Astrid Hochart, Hilke Messal, and Zinaida Peter for their contributions to this article.